The new British prime minister must unite the Conservative Party and secure a favorable divorce from the European Union.
Weakness and negative rates overseas and fears of recession at home are likely to stay Janet Yellen’s hand.
Central banks will continue to lean more heavily on quantitative easing than on rate cuts, robbing the yield curve of much of its signaling power.
Far from being sluggish, first-quarter growth was boosted by unusually warm weather; the economy is likely to falter as the year progresses.
Reeling from recession, the Petrobras scandal and a weak Rousseff government, the currency looks set to continue falling, analysts say.
Earnings weakness, combined with limited Fed firepower and softness in global demand, are likely to cause a outright contraction in the economy.
The catalysts for an imminent recession still aren’t in place, despite geopolitical anxieties and sagging overseas economies.
A fresh flirtation with recession in the euro area, and a lack of resolve to confront it, is undermining confidence in global markets.
Don’t trust the post-crisis rebound in stocks and housing, says economist David Levy; markets are likely to enter a period of secular asset price declines.
Like the seasons, the cycles of the capital markets are predictable as long as you follow the right indicators, which today are pointing to a possible recession.