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Recession

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Portfolio
Post-Brexit PM Theresa May Inherits a Heavy Burden
The new British prime minister must unite the Conservative Party and secure a favorable divorce from the European Union.
Tom Buerkle
July 13, 2016
Portfolio
Why the Fed Keeps Getting Detoured on the Rate Normalization Path
Weakness and negative rates overseas and fears of recession at home are likely to stay Janet Yellen’s hand.
Tom Buerkle
June 15, 2016
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Portfolio
How Will Policymakers Handle the Next Recession?
Central banks will continue to lean more heavily on quantitative easing than on rate cuts, robbing the yield curve of much of its signaling power.
Benjamin Mandel
June 1, 2016
Portfolio
Mild Winter Has a Downside for U.S. Economy and Investors
Far from being sluggish, first-quarter growth was boosted by unusually warm weather; the economy is likely to falter as the year progresses.
David A Levy
April 14, 2016
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Portfolio
Brazil’s Troubles Mean Further Pressure on the Real
Reeling from recession, the Petrobras scandal and a weak Rousseff government, the currency looks set to continue falling, analysts say.
Dan Weil
February 3, 2016
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Portfolio
Declining U.S. Corporate Profits Signal a Looming Recession
Earnings weakness, combined with limited Fed firepower and softness in global demand, are likely to cause a outright contraction in the economy.
David A Levy
December 28, 2015
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Portfolio
Don’t Look Back: Economists Are Skeptical About a Slump
The catalysts for an imminent recession still aren’t in place, despite geopolitical anxieties and sagging overseas economies.
Dan Weil
November 18, 2015
Attendees At The International Monetary Fund And World Bank Group Annual Meetings
Portfolio
Blame It On Europe: Bloc’s Woes Are Driving the Market Selloff
A fresh flirtation with recession in the euro area, and a lack of resolve to confront it, is undermining confidence in global markets.
Tom Buerkle
October 15, 2014
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Video - The Global Outlook at the 2014 IMF Meeting
High Debt, Emerging-Markets Woes Threaten a New Recession
Don’t trust the post-crisis rebound in stocks and housing, says economist David Levy; markets are likely to enter a period of secular asset price declines.
Editors
October 8, 2014
DC Offices Closed as Winter Storm Approaches After Icing South
Portfolio
Beware of the Coming Winter of Discontent
Like the seasons, the cycles of the capital markets are predictable as long as you follow the right indicators, which today are pointing to a possible recession.
Tad Rivelle
September 3, 2014
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