Aetna chief executive Mark Bertolini got his start in the health care industry in the late 70s as an emergency medical technician in his native Detroit. He spent four years as a department coordinator in one of the citys trauma center emergency rooms while earning an undergraduate degree in business administration and finance from Wayne State University. When he decamped for Cornell University in 1982 to get an MBA, he swore never to return to what he considered to be a broken industry. Today the 59-year-old says his early dissatisfaction resulted from the fact that he wasnt in a position to do anything about the U.S.s troubled health care system.
Not any longer. As CEO of Hartford, Connecticutbased Aetna, Bertolini is responsible for the health care coverage for 24 million Americans, a number that would grow to 33 million if the companys recently announced deal to buy Louisville, Kentuckybased rival Humana for $34.1 billion in cash and stock is approved. After the deal closes, which Aetna management expects will happen as soon as the second half of next year, the company would be the U.S.s second-largest health insurance provider by revenue, with $115 billion in annual sales, behind only UnitedHealth Group.
Post-merger, 56 percent of Aetnas revenue will come from its government-related business an attractive segment as the number of baby boomers aging into Medicare grows. But even as opportunities tied to Medicare continue to expand, the Affordable Care Act is pressuring insurers margins. The regulations that are embedded in the law are regulating the profitability of the industry in a stringent manner much more so than they ever have before, says Ana Gupte, a health care analyst at Boston-based investment bank Leerink Partners. Here you have this huge revenue opportunity [in Medicare], but you have to be much better at adding value if the price points are being contained as a result of all this regulation.
Bertolini says bringing Humana and Aetna together will allow him to do just that. He expects the company to save an annual $1.25 billion in cost synergies starting in 2018 and to post low double-digit percent accretion to operating earnings per share by that year.
Bertolini, who was recruited to Aetna in 2003 by then-CEO John Rowe to fix its pharmacy, behavioral health and dental businesses and ascended to the top spot in 2010, also trumpets the deals potential to drive down health care costs for consumers. That will become increasingly important as individuals head to online marketplaces to compare insurance plans post-ACA. In June, the Supreme Court upheld the legality of subsidies paid to individuals who purchase insurance from the federal exchange.
While hes at it, Bertolini figures he may as well also fix the problem of the shrinking middle class. In January, he announced plans to raise Aetnas minimum wage to $16 an hour, a 33 percent increase for the companys lowest-paid employees. He cites several motivations for the move: For one, he projects that the $26 million cost could help save the company about $120 million annually on rehiring and retraining workers. But hes also indicated that a broader, macroeconomic perspective had plenty to do with the decision.
If were going to reinvigorate the economy, we have to restore the middle class, Bertolini says. Theres just been this question of, Who wanted to try it first? It was sort of like, Let Mikey try it. So I said, Ill do it. Aetnas stock price was up nearly 40 percent from the January 12 announcement leading up to the news of the Humana acquisition.
Mark is unlike any other CEO Ive ever covered, says Barclays health care analyst Joshua Raskin. One reason is his foresight. He worries every day about the future of health care. I dont think Mark believes his job is simply to increase earnings for shareholders; I think he believes its also about improving the integrity of the CEO suite and about improving the delivery of the health care system.
Institutional Investor Contributor Katie Gilbert recently spoke with Bertolini to learn about his vision for improving the U.S.s health care system.
Institutional Investor: Youve said that the U.S.s health care system is broken. What do you mean by that?
In most every other facet of our economy, we talk about investments we want to make, and we talk about how well finance them. In health care, we smash the two of those together. The financing is really the insurance. The investment is really, What do we do when we spend the money that is created by the financing? In the U.S. health care system, weve confused these two concepts, and we attribute the cost of financing to all of the ills of health care. And so insurance, because it puts the final price out to the market, becomes the bad guy in all of this, even though its margins are the lowest across the whole health care industry. You have large hospital systems that are getting 10 percent margins; youve got device manufacturers and drug companies getting 20, 25 and 30 percent margins. The insurance part of it is like 5 percent.
What we need to do is deconstruct the system and say, Whether or not we want a single payer system or we want a private insurance system or we want an out-of-pocket system, lets take the financing decision and set that aside. Lets ask, How should we spend our money, and what do we consider to be a good return on that investment?
How is the Affordable Care Act driving improvements in the health care system?
What the Affordable Care Act has done is create an action-forcing event that has scared enough actors in the system to have a fundamentally different conversation. If we were to design [the system] over, I would suggest we design it with a definition of the best outcome being a productive individual. If we constantly invest in the quality of life of the people that were taking care of, then were going to improve their productivity. If we improve their productivity, were going to improve their economic viability. If we improve their economic viability, theyre going to be happier. That ought to be the definition of what a good outcome of a health care system is not the absence of disease, which is how its been designed.
How does Aetna stand to profit from the changes youre talking about?
It changes the way we think about managing risk. Thats what insurance companies do; we manage risk. In the past we tried to create balanced risk pools of individuals, large enough populations where we could then put a price in the marketplace that would allow us to grow. It was in that growth and the stability of that pool over time that the underwriting margins, the profits coming from managing risk, were sufficient to reinvest in the business to fuel future growth. The model Im talking about turns that old one on its head and says, We should accept incidents; we should accept people where they are. The sick are sick; the well we should try to keep well. Instead of trying to manage incidents, we should try to manage severity.
In that case, the underwriting model is being paid appropriately for the risk youre assuming, and because youre getting paid to manage that risk, you actually work on the severity and improve the underlying quality, and in that underlying quality and outcome management, there is the margin. Youre getting rewarded for improving the productivity, economic viability and happiness of the people youre taking care of.
You have predicted the death of health insurers and the rise of government as a force for change in health care. What does this mean for Aetna?
The Affordable Care Act cracked open the black box of underwriting and insurance. Whenever you expose the rules and the way things run, you have a tendency to move toward commoditization. There are two ways to deal with commoditization: One is you put your thumb in your mouth, get in a fetal position, get in a corner and hope it all goes away cut costs, cut costs, cut costs and hope youre the last one standing.
Or you can stand back from the value chain and say, That value chain has been disrupted by commoditization. What are the things we do that are valuable, that we could use in a new value chain that actually creates opportunity?
For us, its really engaging with our partners in the provider system and saying, We can put all of our economic models on the same basis. Today in the system, doctors work on a cash basis, hospitals work on a revenue basis, and insurers work on a margin basis. Those are the three key actors in the health care system. Those three economic models dont work well together at all. If you can get everyone on the same economic basis by saying, Lets get paid for the risk were assuming, lets take care of people and take care of the quality of their life; then we need to impart how we do that to our provider partners, versus standing over them with a stick and saying were the insurer, we pay the bills, and heres how youre going to do it.
How does that translate into a change that youre making to the business?
We said to the hospital systems, Why dont we partner? You get into our old business. Why dont you manage the risk because youre taking care of the patients? So you should get rewarded for doing that. What we become is less of a go-between, and we become a facilitator of the relationship between the provider and the patient.
When did you start thinking about acquiring Humana?
When I took over, instead of being opportunitistic about responding to acquisitions that came to market, we looked forward with our strategy: What kind of assets will we want to have as part of our portfolio? Ultimately we wanted to be bigger in the government space because government is paying more and more for health care. Humana was always an asset on our minds. There were always ongoing conversations: Is it time now? Should we think about this? Quite frankly, the yes didnt come until March 28, when I sat down with [Humana CEO] Bruce [Broussard] and had my very first conversation with him about whether he was ready. He said yes, and thats what began the conversations.
Youve said that this deal will lower health care costs for consumers, though in the past consolidation in your industry has had the opposite effect. What makes things different this time?
Because the payment model and the economic model has to change at the local market. If we just put these two organizations together and fee for service continues to exist and we have no impact at the local market level, then it will not save consumers costs. Its really about the strategy that says we can create a fundamentally different economic model at the local market by sharing our intellectual property and our technology with providers to focus on population health. That has to happen in order for this to work, and both companies are committed to that strategy.
What was the investor response to your decision to raise the minimum wage? Were there any naysayers?
Actually, in the investor community, we didnt get one counter voice to the whole process. We explained it in a very important way: We said, This health care marketplace is moving more to a retail market. And a retail market requires a person on the front lines taking care of our customers in very different ways than in the past. If I can eliminate their concerns about being able to provide health care for their families and put bread on the table, I can create a relationship with these employees that allows them to focus on my customers and have empathy toward them. I called it an infrastructure investment in the quality of our customer service.
Were you surprised that there wasnt at least a little pushback?
One of the interesting things thats happening is that there are a lot of CEOs in the marketplace youve heard it from Larry Fink at BlackRock and a number of others that have been saying for a while that this short termism, this zero sum game, isnt working. If were going to reinvigorate the economy, we have to restore the middle class.
We can never get rid of the complexity of our economy, but what we can do is reduce the complication of how we work with one another. If we think about that within the context of taking care of each other, I think that has a lot of resonance. Its worked for us, and its working for other companies, and I have a feeling that weve crossed a Rubicon here from the standpoint of how we think about the leading companies.
Were you hoping to start a trend among major U.S. corporations to raise minimum wages?
Yes, I was, and yes, its happened.
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