The economy may be slowly improving, but 401(k) plan
sponsors are growing more pessimistic, according to a new
In the consulting firm Aon Hewitts most recent annual
survey of 500 U.S. employers, conducted in early fall and
released in late January, just 4 percent of the respondents
said they were very confident that their workers will
retire with adequate retirement assets. This was a sharp
plunge from an already meager 30 percent the prior year.
And while another poll does not show a steep decline, it is
because the lack of employer confidence has been ongoing. For
the past 11 years, Deloitte Consulting has been querying 400 to
600 employers on the topic, and consistently, only about 15
percent say they think their employees will be financially
ready to retire even as the plans keep adding
inducements that are intended to spur more savings.
Its hard to tell if things are getting worse or if
were just stuck, says Scott Cole, a senior manager
in Deloittes human capital practice who has run the
survey for the past three years.
While no one seemed to have a good explanation as to why the
Deloitte and Aon Hewitt findings were so different, experts
offered plenty of reasons for pessimism.
Pamela Hess, Aon Hewitts director of retirement
research, blames the duration of the downturn. As
time goes on, benefits officials see more and more employees
requesting hardship withdrawals and loans from their
401(k) accounts or ending their contributions altogether, she
says. When youre on the front lines and youre
seeing the hardships day in and day out, I think its
More information may be another reason, suggests Kristi
Mitchem, the head of global defined contributions at State
Street Global Advisors. Thanks to better projecting tools, she
says, weve been increasing the amount of data plan
sponsors have on individual participants. We can forecast with
more specificity what theyll have at retirement.
Once they realize just how skimpy their employees account
balances are, employers apparently get more depressed.
To Damon Silvers, director of policy and special counsel to
the AFL-CIO, such laments are somewhat ironic. These
folks need to look in the mirror, he scoffs. They
have this concern that their employees dont have
retirement security, yet they took it away from them by
eliminating defined benefit plans. And if 401(k) balances are
skimpy, he adds, its not surprising that people
dont save, because their wages are declining.