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After some pessimism about the outlook for fixed income early in 2017, things are looking a little less worrying. Not for the first time, bonds are exceeding expectations.

For the bond bears to be proven right, however, we need more than good data. We need a significant shift in positioning, some hints that inflation (wage-related in particular) is on the mend, and less central bank caution. All this is still possible. And the markets are more fragile than they might otherwise appear. So, what’s next for yield hunters?

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