Macro: Quantitative Research 2010 Second Team
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Macro: Quantitative Research 2010 Second Team

Rising from third place to second is François Trahan, who left ISI Group to team up with Edward Wolfe (No. 2, Airfreight & Surface Transportation) in February; t

François Trahan


Wolfe Trahan & Co.


Rising from third place to second is François Trahan, who left ISI Group to team up with Edward Wolfe (No. 2, Airfreight & Surface Transportation) in February; the firm formerly known as Wolfe Research is now Wolfe Trahan & Co. Trahan, who also tops the ranking in Portfolio Strategy, focused on earnings quality in April as a defensive stock screen in a declining market. One stock that passed muster: Hershey Co. By late August shares of the Pennsylvania-based candy maker had sweetened 9.4 percent, from $42.48 to $46.47, and bested the broad market by a very tasty 20.3 percentage points. “Even when François is wrong — which is rare — his insights are fascinating,” marvels one backer.


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In a year when macro concerns overshadowed stock picking, these top analysts came to the aid of investors at sea in the market turbulence.
After two years in the runner-up position, Chip Dillon of Credit Suisse rises to No. 3. “He is able to understand more-esoteric issues specific to the space,” touts one client. Dillon initiated coverage of Pactiv Corp., the maker of Hefty brand trash and sandwich bags and a producer of food-service and food-packaging products, in March with an outperform rating, making the case that the Lake Forest, Illinois–based company was undervalued on the basis of earnings and cash flow.
Michael Gambardella, who sits atop the sector for a third year running, “has been covering this space for 25 years or more — I believe that is the right number — and he offers an unparalleled perspective, given his history with these companies and his relationships,” according to one satisfied client.
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