Industry Sectors: Transport

Menno Sanderse & team Morgan Stanley

second teamDamian Brewer & team J.P. Morgan

third teamMark McVicar & team Nomura

Morgan Stanley’s four-strong squad captained by Menno ­Sanderse, 36, climbs one rung to claim top honors for the first time since 2007. An upgrade from equal weight to overweight on TNT in September 2008, at €24.20, may have been too early, as the shares skidded to €10.57 in March on union opposition to the Dutch freight deliverer’s cost-­cutting initiatives. But clients appreciated the advice — “Sticking with it through the rough times was one of the best calls of the year!” recalls one — as the stock began to rise, climbing back to €21.50 by December 31 and outpacing the sector by 6.5 percentage points. Vaulting from ­runner-up to No. 2 is the J.P. Morgan duo headed by Damian Brewer. The analysts issued a valuation-­based upgrade from neutral to overweight on Britain’s FirstGroup in February 2009, at 295p, after the shares had plunged 33 percent in the preceding month because of declining bus travel. FirstGroup’s stock roared to 348p in August, and the team reduced it to neutral, on valuation, but the downgrade was premature. The stock continued to climb, ending the year at 426p. Mark McVicar steered Dresdner Kleinwort’s team to third place last year; he moved to Nomura in May and returns as leader of the No. 3 team. The Nomura trio told investors in May to buy France’s Groupe Eurotunnel, which runs railways beneath the English Channel, and Atlantia, an Italian toll-­highway operator, on the belief that both stocks were bargains. Through December they shot up 73.9 and 29.2 percent, ­respectively.

To go back to the index page, click on the Best European Analysts of the Year: 2010 All-Europe Research Team.

To read the article, click on: Reversal of Fortunes: The 2010 All-Europe Research Team

Click here to access the complete rankings of the 2010 All-Europe Research Team