Third-Quarter 2014 Corporate Buyback Scorecard; Best & Worst Companies

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Buyback
Scorecard U.S. Share Buybacks Rebound but Face Sharp CriticismThe S&P 500 as Stock Repurchasers Industry Comparisons

The table below shows the 10 most and least effective stock buyback programs among the companies in the S&P 500 that bought back at least 4 percent or $1 billion of their shares from September 31, 2012 through September 31, 2014, according to their return on investment. As calculated by Fortuna Advisors, a New York City-based consultancy that compiled the data for Institutional Investor, buyback ROI measures the overall rate of return of these companies’ buybacks, based on the internal rate of return of the cash flows associated with them. Buyback strategy tracks the performance of the underlying stock in terms of annualized total shareholder return. Once Fortuna determines buyback ROI and buyback strategy, buyback effectiveness can then be calculated as simply the difference between the two, determined as compounded return.

The Best and Worst Corporate
Stock Buyback Programs
Best
Company Industry Market
Cap ($ Millions)
Total
Buyback (S Millions)
$ Total
Buyback as %
Market Cap
Buyback
Strategy
Buyback
Effectiveness
Buyback ROI
1 Southwest Airlines Co.Transportation23,137 1,370 5.9 84.7 8.0 99.5
2 Keurig Green MountainFood, Beverage and Tobacco21,136 1,241 5.9 130.7 -15.9 94.1
3 Gilead SciencesPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences160,917 4,131 2.6 84.8 -3.1 79.0
4 United RentalsCapital Goods10,6555174.9 84.3 -3.0 78.8
5 LyondellBasell IndustriesMaterials55,670 3,449 6.2 61.8 1.5 64.2
6 SanDisk Corp.Technology Hardware and Equipment21,963 2,466 11.2 55.6 5.4 64.1
7 Western Digital Corp.Technology Hardware and Equipment22,735 1,663 7.3 62.5 0.6 63.6
8 Hewlett-Packard Co.Technology Hardware and Equipment66,197 4,260 6.4 42.8 11.2 58.8
9 Marriott InternationalConsumer Services20,311 2,049 10.1 35.5 12.1 51.9
10 McKesson Corp.Healthcare Equipment and Services45,085 1,396 3.1 47.5 2.7 51.5
Worst
Company Industry Market
Cap ($ Millions)
Total
Buyback (S Millions)
$ Total
Buyback as %
Market Cap
Buyback
Strategy
Buyback
Effectiveness
Buyback ROI
1 CoachConsumer Durables and Apparel9,811 750 7.6 -18.8 -15.6 -31.4
2 Whole Foods MarketFood and Staples Retailing13,767 703 5.1 -8.5 -24.7 -31.1
3 Teradata Corp.Software and Services6,49890213.9 -23.08.0 -16.8
4 MattelConsumer Durables and Apparel10,355 649 6.3 4.6 -17.8 -14.0
5 Fossil GroupConsumer Durables and Apparel4,968 969 19.512.2 -17.6 -7.5
6 StaplesRetailing7,795508 6.5 2.0 -7.7 -5.9
7 Bed Bath & BeyondRetailing13,295 3,248 24.4 -1.1 -4.2 -5.2
8 XilinxSemiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment11,370 570 5.0 17.3 -18.9 -4.8
9 Target Corp.Retailing39,721 2,106 5.3 0.9 -3.6 -2.7
10 The Mosaic Co.Materials16,638 2,508 15.1 -8.3 6.3 -2.5
Source: Fortuna Advisors Analysis using data from the Capital IQ database. Financial Data from September 2012 to September 2014. Includes the 491 members of the current S&P 500 that were public for the full period. Market Capitalization as of: 09/30/2014. Companies included here if $ Total Buyback / Market Capitalization is greater than 4% or if $ Total Buyback is greater than $1 billion.
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