Fourth-Quarter 2015 Corporate Buyback Scorecard; Best & Worst Companies

Buyback Scorecard The Risk in No-Risk Stock BuybacksThe S&P 500 as Stock Repurchasers Industry Comparisons

The table below ranks the 299 companies in the S&P 500 that bought back at least 4 percent of their shares from September 30, 2013, through September 30, 2015. The companies are ranked according to their return on investment from these repurchases. As calculated by Fortuna Advisors, a New York City-based consultancy that compiled the data for Institutional Investor, buyback ROI measures the overall rate of return of buybacks, based on the internal rate of return of the cash flows associated with them. Buyback strategy tracks the performance of the underlying stock in terms of annualized total shareholder return. Once Fortuna determines buyback ROI and buyback strategy, buyback effectiveness can then be calculated as simply the difference between the two, determined as compounded return.

The Best and Worst Corporate
Stock Buyback Programs

Best
CompanyIndustryMarket
Cap ($ Millions)
Total
Buyback ($ Millions)
$ Total
Buyback as %
Market Cap
Buyback
Strategy
Buyback
Effectiveness
Buyback ROI
1Tesoro Corp.Energy12,686 5944.746.77.157.1
2NVIDIA Corp.Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment17,732 1,2667.142.04.047.7
3O’Reilly AutomotiveRetailing24,997 2,0038.043.42.146.4
4NIKEConsumer Durables and Apparel106,524 5,4745.131.310.344.8
5Starbucks Corp.Consumer Services89,133 2,4022.725.813.943.3
6The Kroger Co.Food and Staples Retailing40,773 1,9864.938.73.243.1
7VeriSignSoftware and Services9,741 1,52715.723.115.041.5
8Southwest Airlines Co.Transportation28,004 2,1357.660.5(12.4)40.6
9Dr Pepper Snapple GroupFood, Beverage and Tobacco17,605 9215.241.0(2.0)38.1
10The Home DepotRetailing167,677 14,0008.330.54.836.8
Worst
CompanyIndustryMarket
Cap ($ Millions)
Total
Buyback ($ Millions)
$ Total
Buyback as %
Market Cap
Buyback
Strategy
Buyback
Effectiveness
Buyback ROI
1NRG EnergyUtilities3,698 47612.9(31.2)(59.1)(71.9)
2MallinckrodtPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences8,653 3844.418.9(61.6)(54.3)
3Murphy Oil Corp.Energy3,862 62516.2(32.5)(18.1)(44.8)
4Quanta ServicesCapital Goods3,235 1,70052.5(14.4)(32.9)(42.6)
5Seagate TechnologyTechnology Hardware and Equipment10,963 2,35821.5(8.9)(34.8)(40.6)
6Michael Kors HoldingsConsumer Durables and Apparel7,373 1,44819.6(27.7)(17.7)(40.5)
7National Oilwell VarcoEnergy12,584 3,00023.8(26.4)(18.4)(40.0)
8Micron TechnologySemiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment14,659 1,0537.2(9.3)(32.8)(39.0)
9Keurig Green MountainFood, Beverage and Tobacco13,423 2,19816.4(3.3)(35.8)(38.0)
10Apache Corp.Energy16,810 1,86411.1(26.6)(11.5)(35.1)
Top Manufacturers of EPS (*)
CompanyIndustryMarket
Cap ($ Millions)
Total
Buyback ($ Millions)
$ Total
Buyback as %
Market Cap
Buyback
Strategy
Buyback
Effectiveness
Buyback ROI
1Motorola SolutionsTechnology Hardware and Equipment11,914 5,72348.06.88.015.3
2Northrop Grumman Corp.Capital Goods34,436 5,85017.033.5(0.0)33.5
3The Travelers Cos.Insurance34,334 6,55619.115.41.517.1
4Citrix SystemsSoftware and Services11,637 2,39720.613.54.218.4
5Xerox Corp.Software and Services10,762 2,37322.1(1.3)(13.2)(14.3)
6Whole Foods MarketFood and Staples Retailing11,432 1,66314.5(25.9)3.4(23.3)
7W.W. GraingerCapital Goods12,720 1,92515.1(9.5)(8.9)(17.5)
8TE ConnectivityTechnology Hardware and Equipment24,959 2,64010.612.9(5.3)6.8
9Torchmark Corp.Insurance7,050 6729.59.4(1.1)8.2
103M Co.Capital Goods92,751 10,89011.712.6(4.9)7.0

* Manufacturers of EPS considers S&P threshold companies with low (negative) Earnings Growth but high reduction in share count to generate positive EPS Growth.

** EPS calculation = Quarterly Reported Net Income / Actual Quarter’s Reported Total Shares Outstanding.

Source: Fortuna Advisors Analysis using data from the Capital IQ database.

Financial Data from December 2013 to December 2015. Includes the 485 members of the current S&P 500 that were public for the full period.

Market Capitalization as of: 12/31/2015.

Companies Included here if $ Total Buyback / Market Capitalization is greater than 4%

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