Developed markets are tapped out and saddled with the biggest debt burden that theyve had since 1929, said Lee Partridge, CIO of Salient Partners, in relation to developed markets.
With China, too, showing signs of slowdown, this makes emerging markets a very powerful story, and explains why investors are increasingly seeking growth in previously untapped markets, according to Partridge.
But, as Donald Lindsey, CIO at George Washington University pointed out, its important not to confuse growth with profitability, as high GDP growth doesnt necessarily imply high profitability and high equity returns.
The complexity of navigating emerging markets can produce a variety of views, even from Institutional Investors award-winning Money Masters, who gathered the morning after the award ceremony for a wide-ranging roundtable discussion. (Our Money Masters also talked at length about J.P. Morgan's trading losses.)
With Institutional Investor Editor Michael Peltz and Senior Writer Frances Denmark steering the conversation, Partridge and Lindsey were joined by Robert Manilla, CIO, Kresge Foundation; Lawrence Schloss, CIO of the New York City Employees Retirement System; and Sean Gissal, CIO at Marquette University.
What follows are excerpts of the portion of their discussion related to emerging markets.
Lee Partridge: The whole idea of public equity markets being the mainstay of a portfolio is a very recent phenomenon. That is not how money has been invested for thousands of years. That is a product of the 20th century and one very loudly-spoken Wharton professor, who advertised that stocks were the only way to get to the returns that you needed as an investor. That simply isnt true. The reality is this is definitely a tale of two cities. Seventeen percent of the worlds population lives in developed markets. They are tapped out. They have the biggest debt burden that theyve had since 1929, and theyre going to be working that off for a long period of time. ....